Back to the Sanatorium Professor, You Aren't Well!

Gee-whiz, there's a 97% chance that God exists. When faith fails you, just go to the odds! Prof. Richard Swinburne apparently said that the probability that God raised Jesus Christ from the dead is 97%, according to this article on ReligionNewsBlog.

The article says that Prof. Swinburne has substantiated this computation in one of his books. Of course, what is the margin of error here? Measurements only make sense if three things are specified: data, error, and unit of measurement, and the measurement must be reproducible, according to some well-specified method. Statements like "there was a one in 10 probability that the gospels would report the life and resurrection of Jesus in the form they do" seem to me fairly generic, difficult to support, and even careless. I guess I'm just a skeptic.